Fantasy Baseball Draft Hints
Written by MadAlan
March 7, 2010
Fantasy Baseball Draft Hints from a Multiple Expert League Winner
By Madalan
Important Draft Hint: Forget all kids regardless of the hype
unless you are to draft in a Keeper League. Remember, less than 4% of all Rookies
achieve any Fantasy value; that means 1 out of 40 will be important to your roster.
Let others gamble while you pick the smarter, safer choice; each rookie drafted
by others opens the door for you to pick a better player who far is less of a
gamble.
Beating a Pre-Rank Draft
The best method to control a pre-rank draft is
called “bunching.” Bunching is exactly as it sounds. The concept is to disregard
names and only judge groups by numbers.
Example: This works, use it, guaranteed to get one great First baseman and likely receive two:
| Player A |
47 |
135 |
124 |
16 |
| Player B |
45 |
141 |
105 |
8 |
| Player C |
46 |
141 |
103 |
2 |
| Player D |
34 |
103 |
96 |
6 |
| Player E |
39 |
122 |
103 |
2 |
The top 5 First baseman listed above, sorted by their 2009 numbers and their likely 2010 expectations will create a roster cornerstone; here is how you can own one of them and probably another from the top 10 First baseman as well. Two prime power sources. Begin by placing Player A (Pujols) as the top pick on the Pre-rank list as he deserves to be. Then place Player B (Howard), Player C (Fielder), Player D (Cabrera) and Player E (Teixeira) all bunched together as second pick, third pick, fourth pick, etc.
Two Rounds after the dust has settled repeat the bunch play with the next First baseman group and place this bunch together on the Pre-ranking list; once again grab another player with similar numbers as the first bunch. One or two may possibly see a reduction from 2009 (D. Lee), while others are likely to improve (K. Morales) (Votto) (A. Gonzalez).
| Derrek Lee |
35 |
111 |
91 |
1 |
| Joey Votto |
25 |
84 |
82 |
4 |
| Mark Reynolds |
44 |
102 |
98 |
24 |
| Adrian Gonzalez |
40 |
99 |
90 |
1 |
| Kendry Morales |
34 |
108 |
86 |
3 |
Consider this method to possess a few top Pitchers quickly to build a solid staff around. Below are 13 Starting Pitchers who are most likely to Win 15 games or more in 2010. I place them as before when I explained the bunching concept using First baseman; split the list below into two groups and place them grouped completely as before. Every pitcher listed is also an extremely powerful trading tool for tweaking purposes later and should be used accordingly. This method had twice last year landed me 6-7 pitchers from the list allowing me enormous latitude in most any trading plan.
15 Wins or more are almost a sure 2010 thing with:
Tim Lincecum
Roy Halladay
CC Sabathia
Zack Greinke
Chris Carpenter
Félix Hernández
Adam Wainwright
Justin Verlander
Josh Johnson
Jon Lester
Josh Beckett
Matt Cain
Scott Baker
- Madalan
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